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LevelFields AI Stock Alerts Last Week

Buybacks lift Arena and Silicon Motion, but consumer stocks fade post-earnings as markets demand more than strong results.

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Arena Group (AREN) +8.2% on Buyback Announcement

Shares of media company Arena Group jumped over 8% after its board approved a 3 million-share repurchase program. CEO Paul Edmondson cited undervaluation relative to peers and emphasized confidence in the company’s improving operational performance. Management highlighted a P/E below 11x versus 30x+ for the Russell 2000, suggesting room for rerating.

Silicon Motion (SIMO) +8.2% on Strong Q2 and Buyback

Silicon Motion rose 8.2% after reporting a 19% sequential revenue increase and announcing a buyback. Growth in SSD controller and smartphone-related chip sales drove the upside, with CEO Wallace Kou pointing to rising demand for AI-at-the-edge and diversified end markets. Non-GAAP EPS climbed to $0.69, beating estimates.

Consumer Stocks Fade Despite Earnings Beats

Roughly two-thirds of S&P 500 companies have reported Q2 earnings—with 83% beating profit estimates and earnings surprising by 8.3%. But despite those strong numbers, a surprising trend is unfolding: consumer-facing stocks are selling off even after positive results. Goldman Sachs analyst Scott Feiler highlighted the pattern Friday, noting that even quality names are fading post-earnings, with many continuing to decline in the days following.

Examples span both discretionary and staples: Philip Morris, Hershey, and Starbucks all fell after their results, while surprise beats from names like Deckers, PepsiCo, and Tractor Supply failed to hold their initial gains. In several cases, stocks opened sharply higher on earnings but ended the day flat or negative, often continuing to sell off for multiple sessions.

Feiler attributes the pattern partly to profit-taking in a cautious market, but it also reflects investor skepticism about consumer resilience and spending durability—even with signs of improved July trends and optimism tied to recent tax cuts. Only a few stocks—like Wingstop, Hilton, and housing-related names such as Builders FirstSource—have held their gains.

The broader takeaway: strong earnings alone aren’t enough to drive sustained upside in consumer stocks right now. Markets appear more focused on margin risks, soft guidance, and macro headwinds than headline beats.

Big Tech Earnings Split as AI Bets Diverge

Q2 results from Microsoft, Amazon, and Meta drew a sharp line between AI ambition and AI execution—and markets responded accordingly. Microsoft surged 8.2% after Azure revenue accelerated to +39% YoY, beating expectations and reasserting its AI dominance. The company’s $30B+ quarterly CapEx is backing tangible cloud growth, helping lift its market cap past $4 trillion.

Amazon, by contrast, delivered a strong quarter on paper—13% revenue growth and $30.9B in AWS sales—but soft Q3 guidance and slower AWS growth spooked investors. Despite a record $31.4B in CapEx (up 90% YoY), the stock fell 6.9%, as Wall Street questioned the near-term payoff of its AI spending spree.

Meta stole the spotlight. Shares jumped 13% after it beat across the board and raised guidance, attributing gains to AI-powered ad tools already lifting pricing and efficiency. While Reality Labs posted another $4.5B loss, the market focused on Meta’s ability to fund AI expansion through its dominant ad business—highlighting a rare blend of vision and profitability.

The message was clear: investors are done rewarding AI hype without follow-through. Microsoft and Meta are monetizing; Amazon is still proving it. In this phase of the AI race, capital alone isn’t enough—markets want margin traction, execution, and results now.

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