Link to scroll to top of page

Lockheed Martin is Quietly Becoming 2025’s Biggest Geopolitical Winner.

Trump’s Gulf tour may unlock massive new deals for Lockheed Martin—positioning the company for a global resurgence.

Sectors & Industries

Table of Contents

As 2025 unfolds, few companies appear more strategically positioned to benefit from shifting global dynamics than Lockheed Martin (LMT). While markets have focused on headline inflation, election volatility, and interest rate uncertainty, one defense contractor has quietly cemented its role at the center of America’s global security architecture both militarily and economically.

And it all starts with $2 trillion in international defense deals.

Trump’s Gulf Tour Unlocks a Trillion-Dollar Realignment

In his first international trip of his second term, President Trump signed an unprecedented $2 trillion in trade and defense agreements with Gulf allies. The breakdown includes:

  • Saudi Arabia: $600 billion
  • Qatar: $243.5 billion
  • United Arab Emirates (UAE): $200 billion

While multiple sectors are involved, Lockheed Martin appears on nearly every major defense contract, from missile systems to fighter jet upgrades. This resurgence positions Lockheed not just as a defense stock—but as a geopolitical utility embedded in long-term global strategy.

Lockheed’s Advantage: Hardware and Long-Term Recurring Revenue

Lockheed’s foothold in the region is built on decades of trusted hardware. Its portfolio includes:

  • F-35 and F-16 fighter jets
  • THAAD missile defense systems
  • PAC-3 MSE interceptors
  • Long-range radar and Aegis command systems

These are not one-time equipment sales. They come bundled with logistics, sustainment, modernization, and training contracts—which stretch over multiple years and produce recurring high-margin revenue.

Lockheed Martin has secured confirmed deals totaling at least $3.75 billion

  • $2.8 billion for a THAAD development contract
  • $270 million for integrating next-generation infrared defensive sensors on the F-22 Raptor
  • $265 million for Foreign Military Sales supporting Argentina’s F-16 program
  • $214 million for upgrading M270 MLRS systems
  • $126.99 million modification contract for unspecified work
  • $56 million for supporting the USAF C-5M Super Galaxy fleet
  • $9.5 million from the U.S. Navy for Rotary and Mission Systems
  • Additional deals worth $672.5 million, as previously reported, including:
  • $262.8 million for sustaining Saudi Arabia’s F-15 sensors
  • $129.7 million for logistics/training for Gulf partners
  • $211.7 million for THAAD sustainment
  • $68.3 million+ for PAC-3 MSE and radar exports to Qatar

In the first half of 2025 alone, Lockheed Martin has secured the following confirmed contracts in the Gulf:

  • $262.8M – Sensor sustainment for Saudi Arabia’s F-15 fleet
  • $129.7M – Training and logistics for regional allies
  • $211.7M – THAAD sustainment and upgrades
  • $68.3M+ – Radar and PAC-3 MSE interceptors for Qatar

These wins represent only the initial phases of multi-year contracts. Billions more are under negotiation.

The Pipeline: $90 Billion in Expected Future Deals

Based on ongoing negotiations tied to Trump’s newly signed defense agreements, Lockheed Martin is projected to secure:

  • $50 billion from Saudi Arabia
  • $25 billion from the UAE
  • $15 billion from Qatar

This potential $90 billion pipeline is incremental to existing business and could significantly reshape the company’s long-term revenue base.

What It Means for Lockheed’s Valuation

  • Current stock price: ~$480
  • Market cap: ~$112.5 billion
  • Quarterly revenue: ~$19 billion

If even $9 billion/year in new contracts convert to $900 million in annual profit, that’s an additional $16.2 billion in market value based on an 18x earnings multiple. That equates to $65+ per share in upside, not yet priced in by the market.

Defense stocks don’t typically surge on individual announcements. But over time, contract backlog builds compounding returns—quietly but powerfully.

Lockheed’s Growing Strategic Role

Beyond contracts and cash flow, Lockheed’s growing role is geopolitical:

  • Supports 70,000+ U.S. jobs
  • Integrates Gulf defense systems into U.S. military architecture
  • Ensures long-term U.S. influence in Middle East airspace and cyber systems

In effect, Lockheed is becoming a cornerstone of U.S. foreign policy by industrial means. It supplies the systems that anchor long-term military alliances—and generates decades of follow-on revenue through upgrades, servicing, and system integration.

Dividend Stability and Institutional Confidence

Lockheed Martin offers more than growth potential—it provides stability. The stock currently yields 2.8%, with consistent buybacks, robust free cash flow, and high-margin defense programs with cost-plus structures. Its dividend has grown steadily over the past decade, even through macro uncertainty.

Missile defense programs in particular offer multiyear budget commitments, making Lockheed a favored pick among income-focused institutional investors.

Why the Market Hasn’t Reacted Yet

Short-term traders may wonder why a $1 billion contract doesn’t spark a rally. The answer is scale: Lockheed already generates $19 billion in quarterly revenue. Even a $1 billion contract adds just 1–2% to top-line numbers.

That’s why tools like LevelFields AI matter—flagging contract news early, especially in small- and mid-cap defense stocks, where a $500 million award can move the stock 30–50%.

Final Take: Lockheed Is Quietly Winning 2025

While much of Wall Street is focused on tech volatility, Lockheed Martin is stacking contracts behind the scenes. With over $90 billion in expected future deals, confirmed wins in hand, and its stock still trading well below potential, LMT may be one of the most underappreciated comeback stories of the year.

Whether you’re a long-term investor looking for defense sector exposure or a dividend-focused allocator seeking durable returns, Lockheed’s position in the current geopolitical landscape makes it worth a close look.

Watch the full video here:

Join LevelFields now to be the first to know about events that affect stock prices and uncover unique investment opportunities. Choose from events, view price reactions, and set event alerts with our AI-powered platform. Don't miss out on daily opportunities from 6,300 companies monitored 24/7. Act on facts, not opinions, and let LevelFields help you become a better trader.

Find Better Investments 1800x Faster

AI scans for events proven to impact stock prices, so you don't have to.

LEARN MORE

Free Trial: Signup for 1 Free Alert Per Week

Add your email to get alerts & the report.

Get 1 free alert per week via email

Upgrade if you want more or platform access

We'll also send you a free report

or Click Here to get full access now

By clicking “Accept All Cookies”, you agree to the storing of cookies on your device to enhance site navigation, analyze site usage, and assist in our marketing efforts. View our Privacy Policy for more information.