Everyone’s debating chips, power, and demand — but the real bottleneck to the AI build-out may be water.
- Data centers can use up to ~9 liters of water per kWh for cooling
- The U.S. grid generating that electricity withdraws ~43.8 liters per kWh
- Each AI query can consume the equivalent of 1–3 bottles of fresh water once you factor in cooling ($VRT) and power generation ($EME)
- AI water use is projected to reach ~6.6 billion m³ by 2027 — roughly the annual consumption of a small country
- Only ~3% of Earth’s water is fresh, and most is locked in ice
- Saltwater is highly corrosive to metals, and accelerates rust formation and degradation. Sea water use would rapidly deteriorate pumps, pipes, radiators, and other critical components of a cooling system, leading to expensive and frequent replacements. Specialized, corrosion-resistant materials are costly and require more complex maintenance.
- 1.1B people already lack clean water, and 2.7B face water scarcity at least one month a year
- Nearly half the world may face severe water stress by 2030
This isn’t a niche ESG story — it is a real physical constraint on AI scaling.
And the timing just showed up in earnings:
- American Water (AWK) posted strong Q3 results
- Announced a merger with Essential Utilities (WTRG)
- Laid out a $19–$20B capex plan for 2026–2030 and $46–$48B through 2035
That is the first big, public signal that U.S. water infrastructure spending is about to collide with AI’s cooling demand.
If water becomes the gating factor — not chips, not power — then the trade shifts to water utilities, metering, reuse, and rights.
Investor Angle - Level 2 Exclusive Breakdown
Water Treatment & Purification
- WAT – Lab-grade testing and analytics
- XYL – Advanced systems for wastewater reuse and treatment
- ECL – Industrial water chemistry solutions
- GE Vernova spinout (projected 2026) – Desalination/turbine-water tech potential
Reuse & Recycling (Zero-Liquid Discharge, Onsite Systems)
- AQUA – Evoqua (now part of Xylem) focused on industrial reuse
- CDZI – Cadiz Inc. (water conveyance + desert supply reuse)
- CLW – Clean Harbors-like industrial cleanup players (waste-to-water tech adjacency)
Leak Detection & Smart Infrastructure
- Itron (ITRI) – Smart metering, leak monitoring
- Trimble (TRMB) – Geospatial sensing for water system mapping
- Badger Meter (BMI) – Water metering and pressure intel at scale
Engineering & EPC for Water + Data Center Siting
- ACM – AECOM (large-scale desalination, wastewater, and data center planning)
- TTEK – Tetra Tech (high-end water consulting + reuse system design)
- Jacobs (J) – Water-energy-data projects globally
Regulated Utilities Scaling for AI Demand
- AWK, WTRG, AWR – Largest U.S. regulated water utilities, strong rate-base plans
- PCG – Power + water constraints around large AI campuses in California
- Watch for utilities that file for “AI/Data Center” usage tariffs or non-potable cooling zones — early signs of where data + water will collide