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The Water Crisis That Could End the AI Boom

AI cooling demands could drive a surge in water infrastructure investment, benefiting utilities like AWK, WTRG, and XYL.

Sectors & Industries

Table of Contents

Everyone’s debating chips, power, and demand — but the real bottleneck to the AI build-out may be water.

  • Data centers can use up to ~9 liters of water per kWh for cooling
  • The U.S. grid generating that electricity withdraws ~43.8 liters per kWh
  • Each AI query can consume the equivalent of 1–3 bottles of fresh water once you factor in cooling ($VRT) and power generation ($EME)
  • AI water use is projected to reach ~6.6 billion m³ by 2027 — roughly the annual consumption of a small country
  • Only ~3% of Earth’s water is fresh, and most is locked in ice
  • Saltwater is highly corrosive to metals, and accelerates rust formation and degradation. Sea water use would rapidly deteriorate pumps, pipes, radiators, and other critical components of a cooling system, leading to expensive and frequent replacements. Specialized, corrosion-resistant materials are costly and require more complex maintenance.
  • 1.1B people already lack clean water, and 2.7B face water scarcity at least one month a year
  • Nearly half the world may face severe water stress by 2030

This isn’t a niche ESG story — it is a real physical constraint on AI scaling.

And the timing just showed up in earnings:

  • American Water (AWK) posted strong Q3 results
  • Announced a merger with Essential Utilities (WTRG)
  • Laid out a $19–$20B capex plan for 2026–2030 and $46–$48B through 2035

That is the first big, public signal that U.S. water infrastructure spending is about to collide with AI’s cooling demand.

If water becomes the gating factor — not chips, not power — then the trade shifts to water utilities, metering, reuse, and rights.

Investor Angle - Level 2 Exclusive Breakdown

Water Treatment & Purification

  • WAT – Lab-grade testing and analytics
  • XYL – Advanced systems for wastewater reuse and treatment
  • ECL – Industrial water chemistry solutions
  • GE Vernova spinout (projected 2026) – Desalination/turbine-water tech potential

Reuse & Recycling (Zero-Liquid Discharge, Onsite Systems)

  • AQUA – Evoqua (now part of Xylem) focused on industrial reuse
  • CDZI – Cadiz Inc. (water conveyance + desert supply reuse)
  • CLW – Clean Harbors-like industrial cleanup players (waste-to-water tech adjacency)

Leak Detection & Smart Infrastructure

  • Itron (ITRI) – Smart metering, leak monitoring
  • Trimble (TRMB) – Geospatial sensing for water system mapping
  • Badger Meter (BMI) – Water metering and pressure intel at scale

Engineering & EPC for Water + Data Center Siting

  • ACM – AECOM (large-scale desalination, wastewater, and data center planning)
  • TTEK – Tetra Tech (high-end water consulting + reuse system design)
  • Jacobs (J) – Water-energy-data projects globally

Regulated Utilities Scaling for AI Demand

  • AWK, WTRG, AWR – Largest U.S. regulated water utilities, strong rate-base plans
  • PCG – Power + water constraints around large AI campuses in California
  • Watch for utilities that file for “AI/Data Center” usage tariffs or non-potable cooling zones — early signs of where data + water will collide

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